Digiday Research: 80% of publishers lower Q2 forecasts

coronavirus ad downturn

This research is based on unique data collected from our proprietary audience of publisher, agency, brand and tech insiders. It’s available to Digiday+ members. More from the series →

In February, publishers braced themselves for a tough quarter ahead. Now, reality is beginning to emerge.

A Digiday Research survey of 127 publishers found that 52% of publishers missed their first-quarter numbers. About 23% managed to exceed their forecasts, while 25% hit them.

Publishers are bracing for a worse second-quarter: 80% have lowered forecasts.

Back in March, Digiday Research found that 88% of the publishing executives surveyed expected to miss business goals for the entire year. About 85% of them expected to see a decline in ad revenue, 79% in event revenue and 68% in commerce revenue.

It’s been an especially tough time for news publishers: 59% of them said they missed their forecasts in the first quarter, and 19% of them exceeded it.

As for the second quarter, only 1% have raised their forecast, while a whopping 70% have lowered it.


Advertisers continue to be reluctant to spend any money on ads alongside coronavirus content. A prior Digiday survey found that 40% of brands are not advertising next to coronavirus-related news online, up slightly from the same survey conducted a month ago, when 37% said they will not buy ads alongside coronavirus-related content.

More in Media

The top AI platforms for publishers, ranked

Digiday’s Jessica Davies and Sara Guaglione joined the Digiday Podcast to handicap the more than a half-dozen AI platforms, from Amazon to OpenAI, that have begun doing business with publishers.

Not all creators are the same: How the creator economy breaks down by business model

Breaking down the creator economy by business model, from audience-owned media companies to micro creators with a niche.

‘JG believed that even in a demanding industry, it was possible to lead with both rigor and humanity’

The industry pays respects to OpenX CEO John Gentry, who sadly passed away last week.