Best of 2017: The perilous pivot to video

The pivot to reality
If you wanted to pinpoint one moment when things came crashing down, it was probably the end of November. We learned that Mashable was selling to Ziff Davis at one-fifth of its one-time valuation of $250 million, and both BuzzFeed and Vice were on track to miss their annual revenue targets. Meanwhile, Oath, the merger between AOL and Yahoo, laid off up to 560 employees as it tries to compete with the duopoly. Publishers are finally being confronted with the reality that advertising alone can’t help them meet their lofty valuations and that true success in video will require real, upfront investments.

Key quote: “People are not going to pay to watch people sitting around a table talking about the news. There’s going to be a pivot to real business models.”

Facebook’s key video ad program isn’t delivering much money to publishers
Countless digital media companies have bet on the hope that if they spent money producing content for Facebook, the revenue would eventually follow. So far, it’s been a fool’s errand, as outside of production dollars Facebook has been willing to pay to get some media partners to make videos and shows, there’s little money to be made from Facebook’s monetization products. One publisher made only $500 from a Facebook page that generated 20 million views in a single month.

Key passage: A fifth publisher, when asked about its Facebook mid-roll CPMs, responded by texting lyrics to Flo Rida’s “Low.”

The once-vibrant market for digital video series has deteriorated
Here’s a sad thing in a sea of many sad things: At least Facebook is still paying video makers for shows. In 2017, many of the platforms that digital publishers and studios counted on to buy shows either shut down or scaled back their spend, including Fullscreen, NBCUniversal’s Seeso, Comcast’s Watchable and Verizon’s Go90. Those in the market are inching toward TV-size programs, which is tough for publishers that haven’t built the production chops to create those successfully.

Tweet from a world-famous crank that sums up everything perfectly:

The internet: making web series no one wants since 2005 https://t.co/UcRGGqEEQM @sizpatel

— Mike Shields (@digitalshields) December 5, 2017

Ad buyers cast doubts on publishers’ pivot to video
Everyone wants to be a video company, but not everyone can do it well. In the summer, multiple ad buyers told Digiday about how most of the publishers pivoting to video were creating cheap content that would never command the type of ad dollars that premium TV and streaming programs can. If only the world had listened.

Ad buyer quote that still resonates: “But we don’t want everyone going to video. It’s expensive. Not everyone does it well. Not all users are ready for video. There’s a lot more crap than there is premium. CPMs are still pretty high — that says to me there’s a shortage.”

Text journalists fear (and resent) The Great Pivot to Video
It was a tough year for digital publishers that pivoted to video, but let’s not forget what they left behind in their wake. Investing in video often came with layoffs on the text editorial side. As Digiday’s Lucia Moses writes: “It’s given rise to a gloomy rite that starts with farewell tweets, followed by sympathy responses, ‘hire this person’ tweets and existential rants about the state of the industry.”

Pivot to video, as demonstrated by cat GIF:

5/ Pivots, more often than not, aren’t led by real audience strategy. It’s chasing an ad demo, or dream of a demo, like a cat chases a laser pic.twitter.com/gkbYft4q0D

— Clara Jeffery (@ClaraJeffery) June 29, 2017

Inside Disney’s troubled $675 mil. Maker Studios acquisition
In case you think digital media’s revenue problems are a recent thing, earlier this year, Disney laid off people within its Maker Studios division and shrunk the YouTube network from tens of thousands of creators to 300. Why? It’s hard building a successful business — and Maker, with $370 million in revenue in 2016, was no small operation — if your business is almost entirely reliant on YouTube. Sound familiar? Maybe today’s distributed-media publishers should have paid more attention to the failure of the YouTube multichannel networks.

Key quote: “Disney saw the MCN gold rush, went prospecting and said, ‘We’re going to buy the biggest, shiniest one. If this becomes something, it’s worth having the biggest.’ I don’t think they knew what they were buying. And quite honestly, I don’t think there was much to buy.”